As Diwali and wedding season approach, gold is traditionally considered an auspicious purchase. However, this year, the prices of gold have surged to historic levels, impacting the wallets of everyday buyers. Gold prices have skyrocketed in the lead-up to Diwali, creating a significant strain on the common consumer. Over the past year, gold has increased by approximately ₹51,000 per 10 grams, marking a substantial rise. Last year, around Diwali, the price of gold averaged ₹79,820 per 10 grams. This year, it has soared to a record high of ₹130,350 per 10 grams, as per data from ibjarates.com.
What Analysts Say About the Gold Price Surge
According to analysts, there are multiple factors driving this rise in gold prices. Increasing demand in the international market, the weakening of the Indian Rupee against the US Dollar, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have all contributed to this price hike. Experts believe that given the current global circumstances, gold prices may continue to rise in the coming months. The interplay of these factors has created a perfect storm, pushing gold to new heights.
Changing Buying Trends in the Jewelry Market
As gold prices continue to rise, consumer behavior in jewelry markets has begun to change. Many customers are now opting for lighter designs and smaller pieces of jewelry due to the soaring gold prices. In contrast, investors are increasingly turning to gold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) and digital gold as alternatives to traditional gold jewelry. This shift reflects how the high prices are altering both consumer purchasing habits and investment strategies, as people seek to minimize costs while still benefiting from gold’s value.
Gold Prices on Dhanteras: A Temporary Dip Amid Record Highs
In the national capital on Saturday, gold prices saw a brief decline, falling by ₹2,400 to ₹1,32,400 per 10 grams. Despite this drop, as Diwali and Dhanteras approached, there was a surge of buyers at jewelry shops across the country. According to the All India Sarafa Association, the price of gold, with 99.9% purity, had hit a record high of ₹1,34,800 per 10 grams on Friday, after a ₹3,200 increase. Meanwhile, the price of gold with 99.5% purity in the local markets also witnessed a significant drop, falling by ₹2,400 to ₹1,31,800 per 10 grams (including all taxes).
This dip in prices on Saturday followed a steady rise, which saw gold reach its peak just days before Dhanteras. Last year, on October 29, 2024, during Dhanteras, the price of 24-carat gold was ₹81,400 per 10 grams. In comparison, this year, the price surged to ₹1,32,400 per 10 grams, showing an extraordinary increase of ₹51,000 or 62.65% within just one year. This dramatic rise in gold prices has caused concern among many buyers who were planning to invest in gold during the festive season.
Silver Prices Also See Significant Drop Ahead of Diwali
Silver, another precious metal traditionally bought during Diwali, also witnessed fluctuations. On Saturday, silver prices fell by ₹7,000 to ₹1,70,000 per kilogram (including all taxes). This decline followed a closing price of ₹1,77,000 per kilogram on Friday. As with gold, silver has also experienced a volatile price trend during this festive season. Last year, silver prices had remained somewhat stable, but this year, they have also felt the impact of the rising gold prices.
Impact on Consumers and the Festive Economy
The sudden surge in gold prices has made it difficult for many people to afford the precious metal, especially during the Diwali and wedding season. Traditionally, gold is seen as an auspicious investment, and many families purchase gold jewelry as part of their Diwali celebrations and wedding preparations. However, this year, the steep rise in prices has pushed the cost of gold beyond the reach of several middle-class families. The escalating costs have led many to reconsider their purchases, opting for smaller, lighter pieces or even switching to alternative forms of gold investment, such as digital gold and ETFs.
This shift in purchasing patterns is not only affecting the jewelry market but is also altering the dynamics of the festive economy. While some consumers are delaying their gold purchases, others are turning to non-physical gold investments, leading to a change in how people engage with the gold market during the festival season.
Why Gold Prices Have Risen So Drastically
There are several global and local factors that have contributed to the rapid rise in gold prices. One of the primary reasons is the increased demand for gold in international markets, driven by economic uncertainty in various parts of the world. Additionally, the weakening of the Indian Rupee against the US Dollar has made gold more expensive for Indian buyers, as it is priced in dollars on international markets. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have created a climate of economic uncertainty, which often leads to increased investment in gold as a safe haven asset.
The current global economic climate has caused gold to become more valuable as people seek stability during uncertain times. As the situation continues to evolve, many analysts predict that gold prices may remain high for the foreseeable future, especially in the lead-up to the wedding season.
Looking Ahead: Will Gold Prices Continue to Rise?
While gold prices have experienced a dramatic rise, it remains to be seen whether they will stabilize or continue to rise further in the coming months. The combination of factors like global economic uncertainty, the weakening of the rupee, and rising international demand for gold suggest that prices may continue to climb. However, if geopolitical tensions subside or if the global economy stabilizes, there could be a potential decrease in demand for gold, which could impact its price.
For now, consumers are left grappling with the effects of the high prices, with many opting for smaller pieces or alternative investment options. As the wedding season progresses and Diwali celebrations unfold, the gold market will likely continue to experience volatility, with buyers adjusting their strategies based on market conditions.
The rise in gold prices ahead of Diwali 2025 has had a profound impact on both the jewelry market and the investment strategies of Indian consumers. While traditional gold jewelry remains a staple of Diwali celebrations and weddings, the sharp price hike has forced many consumers to rethink their purchasing decisions. The growing popularity of digital gold and gold ETFs shows that people are adapting to the changing market by exploring new investment avenues.
For those planning to purchase gold during the festival season, it is essential to stay informed about market trends and consider alternative options. Whether it’s purchasing lighter pieces of jewelry or exploring digital gold, consumers are learning to navigate the challenges posed by the skyrocketing gold prices. As the festive season progresses, it will be interesting to see how the gold market continues to evolve and how consumers adapt to these changes.
